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Chris's avatar

Thanks for your fine work.

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Christoph.'s avatar

Great interview. I remember back in 2020, March/April timeframe, when I first heard about Neil Furgeson and his earlier mathematical modeling debacles from prior things like Foot & Mouth disease in England. Apparently a large number of farm animal herds were culled as a result of his models, and they turned out to be done incorrectly because they didn't take into account several variables dealing with apparently how different heards of animals would interact across space (if I remember correctly). He cost farmers gigantic losses. I found a paper online that had been published prior to 2020 which was very critical of his methodology, but for some reasons governments went into panic mode with these models.

The parallels between AIDS and Covid were apparent back then to me. I found the much publicized Italian covid situation wasn't a country-wide phenomenon, but was focus almost exclusively in the highly polluted Po Valley area. I'm sure I've mentioned this before. The overlap with covid cases and this pollution zone was almost perfect. In fact the European Union had been very critical of Italy for not cleaning up its act because there were significant numbers of excess deaths each year in that same area as a result of that pollution.

Well, that all just got turned into Covid. To me this is a parallel with 'proto-AIDS', that is toxicology.

By the way, the book you mentioned about the documentation of the early AIDS cases is actually available online in the internet archives. I you can temporarily read it (they allow you to check it out like a library for a certain amount of time). I've been meaning to devote some time to reading it.

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